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Good afternoon.
No climate change, global warming and only 1 Nature paper – not mine.
Start with acknowledgements…
Go through.
Because of observations like this early emphasis on isolated patches
- causes
-dynamics
What determines the size of a patch?
Apologise to many who have seen it.
Coccolithophore bloom
- south of Iceland
- June 1991
Currents clearly stirring the phytoplankton
Clearly not acting equally in all directions
- lots of stretching
- filaments
Is a diffusing blob realistic then?
Rephrase question
CAN WE PREDICT A MINIMUM SCALE FOR THE FILAMENTS?
Go through
Counter-intuitive that growth is irrelevant except for time.
Solution allows for time varying growth rate
Obvious extension to explicitly include limitation
EXPLAIN LIMITATION
- if less near exponential
- if greater decay
Regimes
Confirms earlier model for beta<2.5
For beta>2.5
- biology now important
- width larger than for exponential growth
- counter-intuitive
All nice theory, but what use?
SOIREE cruise 1999
Fe triggered bloom
Satellite time series
- patch drawn out into filament
- width is constant cf. theory
- theory used as basis for paper on longevity of bloom patch
Observation of patchiness one of oldest oceanographic observations.
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Not the oldest…