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Good afternoon.
No climate change, global warming and only 1 Nature paper – not mine.
Start with acknowledgements…
Apologise to many who have seen it.
Coccolithophore bloom
- south of Iceland
- June 1991
Currents clearly stirring the phytoplankton
Clearly not acting equally in all directions
- lots of stretching
- filaments
Is a diffusing blob realistic then?
Rephrase question
CAN WE PREDICT A MINIMUM SCALE FOR THE FILAMENTS?
Apologies to most who will have seen it
GO THROUGH
Are we throwing away the important part?
Depends on question
How much phyto?
structure may not matter
Structure -> stability (Steele Nature 1974)
not magnitude but phase important
There may be deeper problem in our theories
- based on old theories of turbulence
To get an idea of the problem facing observationalists
Frontal simulation
embedded ecosystem
2 phytoplankton
building on SAS work
looking down on ocean
point out front
eddy
subducted feature
biological response to upwelling significantly
varies over 5days
Primary production similar structure
And now bad news…
UNSURPRISINGLY
MORE STRUCTURE IN COMMUNITY STRUCTURE
Should we even be trying to sample this structure?
Desperate need for modelling and theory to help.
Survey of eddy from PRIME cruise
June 1996
DESCRIBE HORIZONTAL VELOCITY
streamlines
anticyclonic
velocity vectors
max ~65 cm/s
WOBBLY
Vertical currents induced by wobbling
VERTICAL VELOCITY
scale CONTOURS 5m/d solid UP
FORCING IS PATCHY
reason for alignment
How can we survey on sufficiently fine scale?
Associated temporal problem if we do
- not synoptic